ECE 730 Modern Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes, Lec. 1, Fall 2003
Last Modified: Tue 15 Oct 2019, 01:45 PM, CDT
Instructor Office Hours: W 11-12. Other times you might find me are W
before 11, M & F mornings, and after class.
See what we did in Fall 2002. Fall 2003 will be quite similar.
TA:
Gautham Hariharan,
Office Hours: MON 10-11 and WED 9:30-11 in 4620 EH.
Discussion: MONDAYS 6-7 pm in 3444 EH.
Java
Demos for Probability and Statistics
(by
Prof.
Stanton,
Cal. State Univ., San Bernardino)
Syllabus
Homework Solutions and Notes from Discussions
Class Schedule for Fall 2003
9/3 Wednesday. Worked Example 1.4, pp. 9-10. Covered subsection
on Functions, pp. 11-13. Covered subsection on Countable and
Uncountable sets, pp. 13-15.
Assigned HW #1 Ch 1: 3(d), 4, 5, 8, 10, 20, 22, 23, 28, 35 DUE WED 9/10.
9/5 Covered Section 1.3. Also covered Note 1 at the end of the chapter.
9/8 Worked Problems 26, 27, 30, and 31 in Chapter 1.
Covered Sections 1.4 and 1.5 very quickly; highlights only.
Worked Example 1.24.
9/10 Worked Problem 32. Discussed Problem 38. Defined random variables,
shorthand notation in Chapter 2. Please also read Note 1 at the end
of Chapter 2.
9/12 Worked Example 1.25. Worked Problem 76 in Chapter 2 and therefore
reviewed Poisson pmf, mean, and variance and law of total probability.
Covered Note 1 in Chapter 2. Started Chapter 3. Covered Section 3.1
emphasizing the subsection on Location and Scale Parameters and the
Gamma densities.
Assigned HW #2 Ch 3: 12, 13(d), 15(b), 16, 18, 19, 32, 43, 44, 56,
Ch 6: 36, 38, 39 DUE WED 9/17.
9/15 Section 3.2 Expectation. Emphasized Derivation of LOTUS pp. 137-138.
Derived the Markov and Chebyshev inequalities, pp. 81-82. Derived
the Chernoff bound, pp. 148. Covered Section 4.5, Properties of CDFs.
Derived property (vi). Section 6.2: Defined jointly continuous RVs
on p. 264. Jumped to p. 271 for an example of two continuous RVs
that are not jointly continuous. Mentioned Law of Total Probability.
Examples 6.14, 6.15, and 6.18 are recommended reading.
9/17 Covered Section 7.1, 7.2 up to WSS.
Assigned HW #3 Ch 7: 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 12, 17, 18 DUE WED 9/24.
9/19 WSS processes in Section 7.2. Section 7.3, WSS Processes through
LTI Systems. Time-Domain Analysis: Note the definition of
joint wide-sense stationarity from bottom of p. 309 and top of p. 310.
Frequency-Domain Analysis: eqs. (7.17) and (7.18) are crucial.
9/22 Section 7.4, Power Spectral Densities for WSS Processes. Three ways
to express the power in a process (7.19). White Noise. Examples.
Section 7.5, Characterization of Correlation Functions. Started
Chapter 8. Covered Section 8.1 through definition of positive
semidefinite and positive definite matrices.
9/24 Covered Example 8.3. Covered subsection on Decorrelation, Data
Reduction, and the Karhunen-Loeve Expansion. Covered subsection on
Characteristic Functions. Section 8.3 Transformations of Random
Vectors through Example 8.7.
Assigned HW #4 Ch 8: 1, 10, 11, 14, 23, 24, 25 DUE WED 10/1.
9/26 Example 8.8. Section 8.3 The Multivariate Gaussian to Example 8.11.
9/29 Examples 8.11, 8.12, 8.13. Covered the Transformation Derivation
of the N(m,C) joint density. Skipped Inverse Characteristic Function
derivation of N(m,C) density. Briefly discussed level sets.
10/1 Section 8.4 Estimation of Random Vectors. Focused on Linear Estimation.
Assigned HW #5 Ch 8: 22, 26, 29, 30, 32, 36, Ch 3: 48 DUE WED 10/8.
10/3 Continued Section 8.4. Worked Examples 8.14, 8.15. Covered Minimum
MSE Estimation. Started Section 9.1, The Poisson Process.
10/6 Covered Section 9.1, The Poisson Process. Skipped Example 9.2, but
you should go over it yourself. Covered Derivation of the Poisson
probabilities. *Briefly* discussed marked Poisson processes and
shot noise.
10/8 Covered Section 9.2, Renewal Processes. Started Section 9.3 The
Wiener Process; got to the bottom of p. 397.
Assigned HW #6 Ch 9: 6, 9, 11, 16, 18, 19 DUE WED 10/15.
10/9 TA finished Section 9.3 covering The Wiener Integral and the
Random Walk Approximation of the Wiener Process. Did TA evaluations.
10/13 Discussed Problems 20-21 in Chapter 9. Started Section 9.4 Specification
of Random Processes, Finitely Many Random Variables, Infinite
Sequences (Discrete Time). Kolmogorov's Consistency Theorem.
10/15 Finished Chapter 9. Also showed that the Wiener process is a Gaussian
process. Distributed two review questions for Exam 1 (corrected 10/20/03).
(pdf version)
Suggested Review Problems:
Ch 1: 6, 14, 15, 16, 55
Ch 3: 47, 53, 55
Ch 6: 37, 52
Ch 7: 13, 19, 35
Ch 8: 27
Ch 9: 5, 7, 24.
10/17 Answered questions about review problems.
10/20 Answered questions about review problems.
10/21 TUESDAY: Night Exam. 5:15-6:45, Room 3345 Engr. Hall.
You may bring one 8.5 x 11 in sheet of paper with any formulas you
think are important.
10/22 Went over exam. Talked about Problems 28, 30, and 31 in Chapter 9.
Assigned HW #7 Ch 9: 29, 37; Ch 11: 1, 2, 9, 10, 11, 12 DUE WED 10/29.
10/24 Started Chapter 11, pp. 451-455, but skipped solutions of Examples 11.4
and 11.6.
10/27 Continuity in Mean of Order p, pp. 456-457. Started Section 11.2
Normed Vector Spaces of RVs pp. 457-458.
10/29 pp. 458-460: Discussed Cauchy sequences of real numbers, inner product
spaces, parallelogram law, Cauchy-Schwarz inequality. Example 11.9.
Assigned HW #8 Ch 11: 15, 16, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25 DUE WED 11/5.
10/31 Justified pushing expectation through infinite sums that converge in
L^p, pp. 460-461. Skipped Mean-Square Integrals. Skipped Section 11.3
The Karhunen-Loeve expansion. Covered Section 11.4 The Wiener Integral
(Again).
11/3 Started Section 11.5 Projections, Orthogonality Principle, Projection
Theorem, pp. 469-top of 471.
11/5 Proved the Projection Theorem. Started Section 11.6 Conditional
Expectation and Probability.
Assigned HW #9 Ch 11: 40, 44, 45, 46, 51, 52, 55, 56, 59 DUE WED 11/12.
11/7 Gave abstract definition of conditional expectation, (11.23), and
showed that it exists for X in L^2. Skipped proof that conditional
expectation exists for X in L^1. Introduced standard definition (11.26).
Worked Examples 11.18 an 11.19.
11/10 Worked Examples 11.20, 11.21. Briefly discussed conditional probability.
Briefly covered Section 11.7 The Spectral Representation. Started Chapter 12.
Started Section 12.1 Convergence in Probability. Stated definition.
Showed convergence in mean of order p implies convergence in probability,
and gave an example that shows you can have convergence in probability
without convergence in mean of order p for all p >= 1.
11/12 Worked Example 12.2. Started Section 12.2 Convergence in Distribution.
Discussed Example 12.4. Mentioned several important properties of
convergence in distribution.
Assigned HW #10 Ch 12: 1, 2, 3, 4, 10, 11, 12, 13 DUE WED 11/19.
11/14 Covered derivations of results on convergence in distribution, pp. 502-505,
including Examples 12.7 and 12.8.
11/17 Discussed Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in terms of convergence in
distribution, pp. 506-607. Worked Example 12.10. Covered new
notes (pp. 196-202) on the CLT; click here for PostScript file (10 pages).
(pdf version)
11/19 Derived Cental Limit Theorem. Started Section 12.3 Almost Sure
Convergence, including Examples 12.12, 12.13, 12.14, and 12/15.
Assigned HW #11 Ch 12: 14, 18, 19, 20, 23, 25 DUE WED 11/26.
11/21 Finished Example 12.15. Worked Example 12.16, drew pictures of g_n(x)
for Example 12.17. Worked Problems 30, 32, and 27 in Ch 12.
11/24 Started Chapter 10, Markov Chains. Covered Examples 10.1, 10.2.
Defined state space, transition probabilities, state transition
diagram. Discussed random walk, random walk with a barrier.
Reflecting and absorbing barriers.
11/26 Discussed various MCs pp. 421-423. Stationary Distributions,
n-step transition probabilities, Chapman-Kolmogorov eq. p. 424.
Assigned HW #12 Ch 12: 28, 29, 31, 33, 34, 39, 41, 43 DUE WED 12/3.
11/28 NO CLASS --- Thanksgiving Recess.
12/1 Worked Examples 10.3 and 10.4. Gave alternative proofs using the
smoothing property of the Chapman-Kolmogorov eq. and of the stationarity
of the n-step transition probabilities.
12/3 Started Section 10.2 on Limit Distributions, pp. 429-432.
Assigned HW #13 Ch 10: 3, 7, 8, 10 DUE WED 12/10.
You may also want to work problems 1, 2, 4, 5, 6.
12/5 Continued discussion of Markov chains, pp. 432-434.
Got side-tracked to discussion of specification of joint
probability mass functions. Click here for related PostScript handout.
Click here for pdf version.
Suggested review problems: Ch 11: 4, 13, 14, 20, 37, 58, 60, 61,
and Ch 12: 36.
12/8 Started Other Characterizations of Transience and Recurrence, p. 434.
Answered questions.
12/10 Answered questions.
12/12 Last Class Day. Answered questions.
Web Page Contact: John (dot) Gubner (at) wisc (dot) edu