ECE 730 Modern Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes, Lec. 1, Fall 2003


Last Modified: Tue 15 Oct 2019, 01:45 PM, CDT

Clock Icon  Instructor Office Hours: W 11-12. Other times you might find me are W before 11, M & F mornings, and after class.
See what we did in Fall 2002. Fall 2003 will be quite similar.
Teacher Icon TA: Gautham Hariharan, Office Hours: MON 10-11 and WED 9:30-11 in 4620 EH.
        Discussion: MONDAYS 6-7 pm in 3444 EH.
PC Icon Java Demos for Probability and Statistics (by Prof. Stanton, Cal. State Univ., San Bernardino)
Papers Icon Syllabus
Papers Icon Homework Solutions and Notes from Discussions
Tacked Note Icon Class Schedule for Fall 2003
9/3     Wednesday.  Worked Example 1.4, pp. 9-10.  Covered subsection
	on Functions, pp. 11-13.  Covered subsection on Countable and
	Uncountable sets, pp. 13-15.
	Assigned HW #1 Ch 1: 3(d), 4, 5, 8, 10, 20, 22, 23, 28, 35 DUE WED 9/10.

9/5	Covered Section 1.3.  Also covered Note 1 at the end of the chapter.

9/8 Worked Problems 26, 27, 30, and 31 in Chapter 1. Covered Sections 1.4 and 1.5 very quickly; highlights only. Worked Example 1.24. 9/10 Worked Problem 32. Discussed Problem 38. Defined random variables, shorthand notation in Chapter 2. Please also read Note 1 at the end of Chapter 2. 9/12 Worked Example 1.25. Worked Problem 76 in Chapter 2 and therefore reviewed Poisson pmf, mean, and variance and law of total probability. Covered Note 1 in Chapter 2. Started Chapter 3. Covered Section 3.1 emphasizing the subsection on Location and Scale Parameters and the Gamma densities. Assigned HW #2 Ch 3: 12, 13(d), 15(b), 16, 18, 19, 32, 43, 44, 56, Ch 6: 36, 38, 39 DUE WED 9/17.
9/15 Section 3.2 Expectation. Emphasized Derivation of LOTUS pp. 137-138. Derived the Markov and Chebyshev inequalities, pp. 81-82. Derived the Chernoff bound, pp. 148. Covered Section 4.5, Properties of CDFs. Derived property (vi). Section 6.2: Defined jointly continuous RVs on p. 264. Jumped to p. 271 for an example of two continuous RVs that are not jointly continuous. Mentioned Law of Total Probability. Examples 6.14, 6.15, and 6.18 are recommended reading. 9/17 Covered Section 7.1, 7.2 up to WSS. Assigned HW #3 Ch 7: 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 12, 17, 18 DUE WED 9/24. 9/19 WSS processes in Section 7.2. Section 7.3, WSS Processes through LTI Systems. Time-Domain Analysis: Note the definition of joint wide-sense stationarity from bottom of p. 309 and top of p. 310. Frequency-Domain Analysis: eqs. (7.17) and (7.18) are crucial.
9/22 Section 7.4, Power Spectral Densities for WSS Processes. Three ways to express the power in a process (7.19). White Noise. Examples. Section 7.5, Characterization of Correlation Functions. Started Chapter 8. Covered Section 8.1 through definition of positive semidefinite and positive definite matrices. 9/24 Covered Example 8.3. Covered subsection on Decorrelation, Data Reduction, and the Karhunen-Loeve Expansion. Covered subsection on Characteristic Functions. Section 8.3 Transformations of Random Vectors through Example 8.7. Assigned HW #4 Ch 8: 1, 10, 11, 14, 23, 24, 25 DUE WED 10/1. 9/26 Example 8.8. Section 8.3 The Multivariate Gaussian to Example 8.11.
9/29 Examples 8.11, 8.12, 8.13. Covered the Transformation Derivation of the N(m,C) joint density. Skipped Inverse Characteristic Function derivation of N(m,C) density. Briefly discussed level sets. 10/1 Section 8.4 Estimation of Random Vectors. Focused on Linear Estimation. Assigned HW #5 Ch 8: 22, 26, 29, 30, 32, 36, Ch 3: 48 DUE WED 10/8. 10/3 Continued Section 8.4. Worked Examples 8.14, 8.15. Covered Minimum MSE Estimation. Started Section 9.1, The Poisson Process.
10/6 Covered Section 9.1, The Poisson Process. Skipped Example 9.2, but you should go over it yourself. Covered Derivation of the Poisson probabilities. *Briefly* discussed marked Poisson processes and shot noise. 10/8 Covered Section 9.2, Renewal Processes. Started Section 9.3 The Wiener Process; got to the bottom of p. 397. Assigned HW #6 Ch 9: 6, 9, 11, 16, 18, 19 DUE WED 10/15. 10/9 TA finished Section 9.3 covering The Wiener Integral and the Random Walk Approximation of the Wiener Process. Did TA evaluations.
10/13 Discussed Problems 20-21 in Chapter 9. Started Section 9.4 Specification of Random Processes, Finitely Many Random Variables, Infinite Sequences (Discrete Time). Kolmogorov's Consistency Theorem. 10/15 Finished Chapter 9. Also showed that the Wiener process is a Gaussian process. Distributed two review questions for Exam 1 (corrected 10/20/03). (pdf version) Suggested Review Problems: Ch 1: 6, 14, 15, 16, 55 Ch 3: 47, 53, 55 Ch 6: 37, 52 Ch 7: 13, 19, 35 Ch 8: 27 Ch 9: 5, 7, 24. 10/17 Answered questions about review problems.
10/20 Answered questions about review problems. 10/21 TUESDAY: Night Exam. 5:15-6:45, Room 3345 Engr. Hall. You may bring one 8.5 x 11 in sheet of paper with any formulas you think are important. 10/22 Went over exam. Talked about Problems 28, 30, and 31 in Chapter 9. Assigned HW #7 Ch 9: 29, 37; Ch 11: 1, 2, 9, 10, 11, 12 DUE WED 10/29. 10/24 Started Chapter 11, pp. 451-455, but skipped solutions of Examples 11.4 and 11.6.
10/27 Continuity in Mean of Order p, pp. 456-457. Started Section 11.2 Normed Vector Spaces of RVs pp. 457-458. 10/29 pp. 458-460: Discussed Cauchy sequences of real numbers, inner product spaces, parallelogram law, Cauchy-Schwarz inequality. Example 11.9. Assigned HW #8 Ch 11: 15, 16, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25 DUE WED 11/5. 10/31 Justified pushing expectation through infinite sums that converge in L^p, pp. 460-461. Skipped Mean-Square Integrals. Skipped Section 11.3 The Karhunen-Loeve expansion. Covered Section 11.4 The Wiener Integral (Again).
11/3 Started Section 11.5 Projections, Orthogonality Principle, Projection Theorem, pp. 469-top of 471. 11/5 Proved the Projection Theorem. Started Section 11.6 Conditional Expectation and Probability. Assigned HW #9 Ch 11: 40, 44, 45, 46, 51, 52, 55, 56, 59 DUE WED 11/12. 11/7 Gave abstract definition of conditional expectation, (11.23), and showed that it exists for X in L^2. Skipped proof that conditional expectation exists for X in L^1. Introduced standard definition (11.26). Worked Examples 11.18 an 11.19.
11/10 Worked Examples 11.20, 11.21. Briefly discussed conditional probability. Briefly covered Section 11.7 The Spectral Representation. Started Chapter 12. Started Section 12.1 Convergence in Probability. Stated definition. Showed convergence in mean of order p implies convergence in probability, and gave an example that shows you can have convergence in probability without convergence in mean of order p for all p >= 1. 11/12 Worked Example 12.2. Started Section 12.2 Convergence in Distribution. Discussed Example 12.4. Mentioned several important properties of convergence in distribution. Assigned HW #10 Ch 12: 1, 2, 3, 4, 10, 11, 12, 13 DUE WED 11/19. 11/14 Covered derivations of results on convergence in distribution, pp. 502-505, including Examples 12.7 and 12.8.
11/17 Discussed Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in terms of convergence in distribution, pp. 506-607. Worked Example 12.10. Covered new notes (pp. 196-202) on the CLT; click here for PostScript file (10 pages). (pdf version) 11/19 Derived Cental Limit Theorem. Started Section 12.3 Almost Sure Convergence, including Examples 12.12, 12.13, 12.14, and 12/15. Assigned HW #11 Ch 12: 14, 18, 19, 20, 23, 25 DUE WED 11/26. 11/21 Finished Example 12.15. Worked Example 12.16, drew pictures of g_n(x) for Example 12.17. Worked Problems 30, 32, and 27 in Ch 12.
11/24 Started Chapter 10, Markov Chains. Covered Examples 10.1, 10.2. Defined state space, transition probabilities, state transition diagram. Discussed random walk, random walk with a barrier. Reflecting and absorbing barriers. 11/26 Discussed various MCs pp. 421-423. Stationary Distributions, n-step transition probabilities, Chapman-Kolmogorov eq. p. 424. Assigned HW #12 Ch 12: 28, 29, 31, 33, 34, 39, 41, 43 DUE WED 12/3. 11/28 NO CLASS --- Thanksgiving Recess.
12/1 Worked Examples 10.3 and 10.4. Gave alternative proofs using the smoothing property of the Chapman-Kolmogorov eq. and of the stationarity of the n-step transition probabilities. 12/3 Started Section 10.2 on Limit Distributions, pp. 429-432. Assigned HW #13 Ch 10: 3, 7, 8, 10 DUE WED 12/10. You may also want to work problems 1, 2, 4, 5, 6. 12/5 Continued discussion of Markov chains, pp. 432-434. Got side-tracked to discussion of specification of joint probability mass functions. Click here for related PostScript handout. Click here for pdf version. Suggested review problems: Ch 11: 4, 13, 14, 20, 37, 58, 60, 61, and Ch 12: 36.
12/8 Started Other Characterizations of Transience and Recurrence, p. 434. Answered questions. 12/10 Answered questions. 12/12 Last Class Day. Answered questions.

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